Warmer temperatures and rain are causing water levels to rise across the Ausable Bayfield Conservation Authority watershed.
ABCA says mild weather and rainfall today (Jan 8th) is leading to snow melting more quickly. Temperatures are expected to stay above freezing overnight and could reach about 12 degrees tomorrow (Friday), which will speed up the snowmelt. An additional 10 to 15 millimetres of rain is also expected, adding to rising water levels in local rivers and streams.
A snow survey completed earlier this week showed snow water levels ranging from 15 to 46 millimetres across the watershed. Since then, warmer temperatures and recent rainfall have already caused some snow to melt. With more rain and mild weather expected, ABCA says further runoff is likely.
Cooler temperatures Saturday night are expected to slow runoff, and light rainfall forecast for Saturday is not expected to significantly increase water levels.
At this time, significant flooding is not expected. Any flooding that does occur is expected to be limited to low-lying areas near rivers and streams. Ice jams are also not expected due to very little ice on local waterways.
ABCA is reminding residents to be cautious around creeks and rivers. Fast-moving water, slippery banks, and cold conditions can be dangerous. Children and pets should be kept well away from all waterways, and any remaining ice should be considered unsafe.
The statement will remain in effect until noon on Monday, January 12th, unless conditions change.